Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.010912 0.012662 0.014595 0.016885 0.019524 0.022468 0.026001
2026-02-08 0.008159 0.010381 0.013058 0.016516 0.020859 0.026131 0.033015
2026-02-15 0.006261 0.008630 0.011707 0.015987 0.021778 0.029332 0.039929
2026-02-22 0.005301 0.007837 0.011356 0.016578 0.024114 0.034577 0.050189
2026-03-01 0.004399 0.006927 0.010650 0.016505 0.025453 0.038585 0.059287
2026-03-08 0.003580 0.005973 0.009692 0.015859 0.025792 0.041118 0.066510
2026-03-15 0.003046 0.005357 0.009132 0.015700 0.026791 0.044702 0.075738
2026-03-22 0.002794 0.005156 0.009192 0.016527 0.029457 0.051210 0.090458
2026-03-29 0.002518 0.004863 0.009042 0.016954 0.031473 0.056856 0.104411
2026-04-05 0.002162 0.004361 0.008444 0.016484 0.031819 0.059627 0.113639
2026-04-12 0.001895 0.003984 0.008014 0.016251 0.032541 0.063115 0.124537
2026-04-19 0.001644 0.003596 0.007504 0.015780 0.032727 0.065599 0.133799
2026-04-26 0.001439 0.003276 0.007090 0.015462 0.033204 0.068761 0.144926
2026-05-03 0.001277 0.003021 0.006773 0.015294 0.033962 0.072566 0.157824
2026-05-10 0.001118 0.002746 0.006373 0.014890 0.034164 0.075254 0.168743
2026-05-17 0.001054 0.002681 0.006425 0.015490 0.036627 0.082971 0.191340
2026-05-24 0.000953 0.002510 0.006209 0.015446 0.037633 0.087656 0.207846
2026-05-31 0.000831 0.002266 0.005787 0.014853 0.037284 0.089281 0.217628
2026-06-07 0.000750 0.002113 0.005563 0.014710 0.037983 0.093369 0.233614
2026-06-14 0.000724 0.002106 0.005701 0.015490 0.041049 0.103354 0.264851
2026-06-21 0.000682 0.002045 0.005692 0.015892 0.043214 0.111428 0.292382
2026-06-28 0.000608 0.001880 0.005382 0.015452 0.043143 0.113990 0.306436
2026-07-05 0.000550 0.001755 0.005166 0.015234 0.043630 0.118011 0.324710